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Finding the Truth E-Newsletter April 2009 #2
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Latest Autism Gene Findings . . . Not Much
By Mark Blaxill

There's a familiar rhythm to the most prominent autism gene hunt publications. Their authors hype their newly minted study aggressively in the media. The prestigious journals that publish them lend their imprimatur to press releases that say, "this study is a big deal." The findings sound impressive in the press release (and the authors get plenty of time on camera and in leading newspapers to tell us how truly impressive they are).  In the meantime--in papers that are so densely written that making sense of what they really say requires far more reflection than the media hype cycle permits--skillfully concealed evidence reveals the truly important new in the findings: the authors whisper quietly (if at all) that the new analysis negates the most important findings of some of the most prominent previous gene hunts, while crucial detail on their new findings is often relegated to "supplementary material" that's not available on the publication date.

All of these patterns will almost certainly be on display today as the latest missive from the autism-genetics establishment bursts forth in the form of not just one, but two major papers in the journal Nature. But I warn you, don't be fooled by the hype. These two studies report a few moderately interesting findings, which isn't a bad thing. Broadly speaking, trustworthy and actionable biological findings about autism are something all autism parents should welcome, whether they're about genes or the environment or the interaction between the two. And indeed, most autism parents I know generally agree that there OUGHT to be some kind of genetic susceptibility that we can discover in autism. 

But what's truly remarkable in these two papers is how so much will be made about so very little.

That said, the publication of these two papers, one on the risk of rare mutations (copy number variants) in "autism genes", the other on common inherited genes (reported here in the form of "single nucleotide polymorphisms" or SNPs) that may increase autism risk--creates an opportunity to review the current state of the great autism gene hunt, something I've wanted to do for a while. I'll break the review into four pieces

1. What you should know about the lead authors and their funding
2. What the paper on "copy number variants" really says
3. Why the paper on common genetic variations will get the most hype
4. How to distinguish faith from reality in reading the results
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The Coalition for SafeMinds (Sensible Action For Ending Mercury-Induced Neurological Disorders) is a private nonprofit organization founded to investigate and raise awareness of the risks to infants and children of exposure to mercury from medical products, including thimerosal in vaccines. SafeMinds supports research on the potential harmful effects of mercury and thimerosal. Our mission is to end the health and personal devastations caused by the needless use of mercury in medicines.

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